Sabtu, 26 Januari 2013

[Z598.Ebook] Ebook Free Regression Modeling with Actuarial and Financial Applications (International Series on Actuarial Science), by Edward W. Frees

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Regression Modeling with Actuarial and Financial Applications (International Series on Actuarial Science), by Edward W. Frees

Statistical techniques can be used to address new situations. This is important in a rapidly evolving risk management and financial world. Analysts with a strong statistical background understand that a large data set can represent a treasure trove of information to be mined and can yield a strong competitive advantage. This book provides budding actuaries and financial analysts with a foundation in multiple regression and time series. Readers will learn about these statistical techniques using data on the demand for insurance, lottery sales, foreign exchange rates, and other applications. Although no specific knowledge of risk management or finance is presumed, the approach introduces applications in which statistical techniques can be used to analyze real data of interest. In addition to the fundamentals, this book describes several advanced statistical topics that are particularly relevant to actuarial and financial practice, including the analysis of longitudinal, two-part (frequency/severity), and fat-tailed data. Datasets with detailed descriptions, sample statistical software scripts in "R" and "SAS," and tips on writing a statistical report, including sample projects, can be found on the book's Web site: http://research.bus.wisc.edu/RegActuaries.

  • Sales Rank: #821180 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Cambridge University Press
  • Published on: 2009-11-30
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.72" h x 1.18" w x 6.85" l, 2.10 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 584 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Review
"This is an excellent book written by an all-round writer. He is a Fellow of both the Society of Actuaries and the American Statistical Association. Hence, it is not surprising that the book fills the gap between modern statistics and traditional actuarial/risk management methods. Need for this kind of book is obvious. I highly recommend it to any person who wishes to learn how to use statistical methods for actuarial and financial applications.
Lasse Koskinen, International Statistical Review

"The author provides an outstanding list of references at the end of the chapters that provides additional reading on the various topics. In addition the author provides programs in SAS and R as well as output form these packages."
Michael R. Chernick, Significance Magazine

"a welcome addition to the bookshelf of practicing actuaries at all levels, both actuarial students charged with conducting analyses for which the methods discussed in the book are most relevant, and senior managers who use such analyses as a basis for financial decision-making. Perhaps my favorite part of Frees's book is the final two chapters, on Report Writing and Designing Effective Graphs. If these fine essays do not already appear somewhere on the Society of Actuaries syllabus, they should be added immediately."
Ronald C. NEATH, The American Statistician

About the Author
Edward W. (Jed) Frees is a Professor of Business at the University of Wisconsin, Madison and is holder of the Assurant Health Insurance Professorship of Actuarial Science. He is a Fellow of both the Society of Actuaries (SoA) and the American Statistical Association (ASA). Professor Frees is the author of Longitudinal and Panel Data (2004) and has published more than fifty articles in leading refereed academic journals.

Most helpful customer reviews

6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
regression and survival analysis with apps strickly for actuaries and financial analyst
By Michael R. Chernick
This text covers regression techniques which the author views as the most commonly used statistical technique especially in the world of insurance and finance. Since the book is in a series for actuarial science I expected the presentation to be elementary to intermediate and to only cover regression. But some of the latter topics were quite advanced. In my mind survival analysis which is extremely important to actuaries and time series analysis which in very important to finance would not be covered as they do not fall into the category of regression. But thankfully they are included.

Some time series models such as polynomial functions of time can be viewed as linear regression models where time is the predictor variable for the response. But the main models like exponetial smoothing, Box-Jenkins and ARCH/GARCH which are the main ones applied in financial forecasting are really not regression in my view. But these too are covered in the book.

The book starts out in Chapter 1 with a very elementary review of statistics and simple forms of regression. Then Chapter 2-6 form part I which is titled Regression. Chapter 2 presents the basics of simple linear regression. Chapters 3 and 4 cover multiple regression. This is not a cookbook of techniques. The author provides background, historical developments and important concepts and mixes in applications to actuarial science and finance throughout. At the end of most chapters are a large number of exercises with solutions for selected problems in the back. In chapter 3 the author explains least squares presents the modeling assumptions and introduces the Gauss-Markovas well as all the standard concepts of hypothesis testing that a regression parameter is significant, R-square and theorem (hence also the concept of minimum variance among unbiased estimators). In Chapter 4 he provides the unified theme of the general linear hypothesis as he covers categorical predictor variables, the analysis of variance and covariance (all general linear models) In Chapter 5, leverage points, multicollinearity, and regression diagnostics are presented in the context of variable selection. Chapter 6 is all about interpretation and limitations.

Later in Parts III and IV the author introduces nonlinear regression models, logistic regression, probit and tobit models, Poisson and negative binomial regression, generalized linear models,and specialized techniques such as bootstrapping, mixed linear models, proportional hazards regression, generalized additive models and the Bayesian approach to regression. The coverage gets more advanced as you move through the chapters

Part II on time series includes seasonal models, discussion of stationary and longitudinal and panel data models.

In Part III survival analysis is included in Chapter 14. This includes the Kaplan-Meier estimates, proportional hazards regression, accelerated failure time models and even the analysis of recurrent events.

Part IV specifically focuses on actuarial applications and it is here that heavytailed distributions are dealt with using quantile regression and extreme value probability models.

With such an extensive list of topics the book is a large volume of over 560 pages. But even so it is not possible to do justice to this extensive list. The author provides an outstanding list of references at the end of the chapters that provides additional reading on the various topics.

In addition the author prvides programs in SAS and R as well as output form these packages. More detailed examples and projects can be found on the books website.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Great Introduction
By Antonio Cecilio Miranda Tejeida
I believe this one is a good way to move from theory with a little review of it into practice, since most of owr training is in univariate and most of the time we are not shown how its done outside, I also recommend the book
Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science: Volume 1, Predictive Modeling Techniques (International Series on Actuarial Science) from the same author eventhough he is the editor

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Gee Yul Lee
Highly recommended book on predictive modeling. It is a must have for both practicing actuaries and academic researchers.

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Senin, 14 Januari 2013

[K339.Ebook] Fee Download Cloud Computing Networking: Theory, Practice, and Development, by Lee Chao

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Cloud Computing Networking: Theory, Practice, and Development, by Lee Chao

Cloud computing is the most significant technology transformation since the introduction of the Internet in the early 1990s. As more and more companies and educational institutions plan to adopt a cloud-based IT infrastructure, today’s job market requires IT professionals who understand cloud computing and have hands-on experience developing cloud-based networks. Cloud Computing Networking: Theory, Practice, and Development covers the key networking and system administration concepts as well as the vital hands-on skills you need to master cloud technology.

This book is designed to help you quickly get started in deploying cloud services for a real-world business. It provides detailed step-by-step instructions for creating a fully functioning cloud-based IT infrastructure using the Microsoft Azure cloud platform. In this environment, you can develop cloud services collaboratively or individually. The book enhances your hands-on skills through numerous lab activities. In these lab activities, you will learn to

  • Implement the following services in a cloud environment: Active Directory, DHCP, DNS, and Certificate Services
  • Configure Windows Server so it can route IP traffic
  • Implement IP Security Policy and Windows Firewall with Advanced Security tools
  • Create a point-to-site connection between Microsoft Azure and a local computer
  • Create a site-to-site connection between Microsoft Azure and an on-premises network
  • Develop a hybrid cloud that integrates Microsoft Azure with a private cloud created on a local network

Cloud Computing Networking: Theory, Practice, and Development includes numerous examples, figures, and screen shots to help you understand the information. Each chapter concludes with a summary of the major topics and a set of review questions. With this book, you will soon have the critical knowledge and skills to develop and manage cloud-based networks.

  • Sales Rank: #1589328 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-08-20
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.10" h x 1.30" w x 7.10" l, 2.46 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 527 pages

About the Author

Dr. Lee Chao is currently a professor of the Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics division at the University of Houston, Victoria, Texas. He received his PhD from the University of Wyoming, Laramie, Wyoming. He has been teaching IT courses for over 20 years. His current research interests are database system development and cloud computing. He is also the author of more than a dozen research articles and books in various areas of IT.

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Four Stars
By Amazon Customer
Great book, simple to follow through with labs per chapter.

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Kamis, 03 Januari 2013

[N488.Ebook] Ebook Rhinos Don't Eat Pancakes, by Anna Kemp

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Rhinos Don't Eat Pancakes, by Anna Kemp

A rhinoceros makes the best kind of friend—and unexpected breakfast guest—in this hilarious and charming picture book from the creators of the bestselling Dogs Don’t Do Ballet.

Daisy is eating her breakfast when a big purple rhinoceros strolls into the kitchen—just like that! Then it takes a bite out of her pancake—just like that! Daisy tries to tell her parents, but they’re much too busy to listen. So Daisy starts talking to the rhino instead...until her parents finally take notice of their enormous purple visitor!

This funny, heartwarming story from the team who brought you Dogs Don’t Do Ballet is sure to bring a smile to readers who know the ups and downs of busy family life.

  • Sales Rank: #640262 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-05-05
  • Released on: 2015-05-05
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.00" h x .40" w x 10.00" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 32 pages

Review
A purple rhino moves in and the adults are oblivious. What's a kid to do?Daisy's parents never listen to her anyway. So when she tries to point out to Mom and Dad that a huge, purple rhinoceros is strolling into the kitchen, chomping a pancake, and heading upstairs, they mishear and dismiss her. The creature makes himself at home. He hangs out in the yard; he keeps Daisy company while she dons her roller skates; he even sits on the toilet. Steadfast Daisy, unalarmed, decides that since her parents are too busy to pay attention to her, she'll talk to the rhino instead. They become fast friends. Ogilvie uses pencil, pastel, ink, paint, monoprint, and digital tools to create lighthearted illustrations full of loose lines, enlivening the matter-of-fact, sometimes-bland text. Fanciful colors, overlaps of media, and colorings-in that escape their outlines make for a 1970s vibe. Humor and sadness blend: the rhino's single tear is poignant as he expresses his longing to go home ("a million miles away"), but Daisy's possible solutions include a hot air balloon and a bicycle, rejected because "the helmet would never fit." Only outside proof of the rhino's existence conquers Daisy's parents' denial, and the text dulls as Daisy reconnects with them, but the last page upticks in wit. Amusing and whimsical. (Kirkus Reviews March 1, 2015)

Daisy’s parents are awfully busy. So busy, in fact, that they don’t notice the huge purple rhino that tromps into their kitchen, snaps up a pancake, and makes himself at home. Nor do they pay attention when Daisy tries to tell them there’s a huge rhino in their house. Luckily for Daisy, Rhino is not busy at all and he loves to listen. When her parents finally wonder about the missing pancakes, and Daisy tells them about her pachyderm pal, they hoot with laughter and take her to the zoo to show her a real rhino. Only, the zoo’s rhino, who happens to be purple and loves pancakes, is missing. A quick trip home reveals the truth, and Daisy and her sheepish parents help the rhino get back to Africa. Ogilvie’s loose, sketchy illustrations, full of loopy streaks of colored pencil and pastel in a saturated palette, are charmingly childlike and add to the droll atmosphere. As much a cautionary tale for parents as a giddy yarn for kiddos, this will make for an entertaining read-aloud. (Booklist April 15, 2015)

In this agreeably chatty book, little Daisy is eating pancakes when a big purple rhino “strolled into the kitchen. That’s right, a big purple rhino!” Daisy’s parents cut her off each time she tries to tell them about the rhino, who nonchalantly wanders around the house, even using the toilet (Daisy closes the bathroom door for him). Her parents eventually listen long enough to realize what Daisy is saying, but they still don’t believe her, so they take her to the zoo to show her what a real rhinoceros looks like—and end up surprised themselves. Ogilvie’s illustrations use a variety of media—pastels, paint, ink, and more—in an informal style that matches the tone of the casual text. The bright colors spill out of their lines, lines are sometimes scribbly or jagged, and the people all have perpetually startled wide eyes. Visual humor plays into every picture, such as Daisy’s parents sitting perched on the end of the sofa that the rhino earlier sat on (and broke). Most of the elements are familiar, from the unexpected visitor to the oblivious parents, but the humor is on target for the pre-K to third grade set, and it’s got great read-aloud potential for groups or at home. (The Horn Book)

About the Author
Anna Kemp grew up on a street with a gang of kids and spent her childhood sticker-swapping, playing Pac-man, and coordinating BMX displays. She was a bit of a late reader but now reads a lot in her job at Oxford University where she works on contemporary French literature. Her first picture book, Dogs Don’t Do Ballet, was published in 2010. Fantastic Frankie and the Brain-Drain Machine was her first young fiction title and published in 2011.

Sara Ogilvie is an illustrator and printmaker. She was the 2011 Booktrust Best New Illustrators Award winner and was shortlisted for the Best Emerging Illustrator Award 2010. Dogs Don’t Do Ballet, which she illustrated, was shortlisted for the Roald Dahl Funny Prize 2010 and the Booktrust Early Years Award 2010. Sara lives in lives in Newcastle upon Tyne in the North of England.

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
I did not like the message...but that's just me
By Brian
I do not usually respond in this overly sensitive way to things, but for some reason something about the vibe of this book did not sit well with me.

I ordered it as a gift for 2 little girls and I noticed at one point when Daisy's parents were ignoring her claims that the rhino was in the house, they suggested a trip to the zoo. According to the preview on amazon, the family were going to see the rhino and Daisy thought that "that was a stupid idea". I didn't think that that was the best choice of words for a kids book and checked with the girls' mom who said that they were strongly discouraged from using "stupid". Ok, I figured that we could change it to "silly" or something but when the book arrived and I read it and there were a few other things that I just didn't like.

I didn't like that the parents spent most of the book ignoring their daughter. She'd start to say something and they ALWAYS cut her off with a vague, unrelated reply. They didn't brush off her claims of a rhino in the house, they brushed off everything that she said/asked. I'm not a parent, but that bothered me.

For a week, this girl hung out with the purple rhino in the house as her parents ignored her. During this time, she learns that the rhino misses its family "a million miles away" and she tries to figure out how to get it home. So then the parents take her to the zoo and they see a sign that the pancake loving rhino had escaped. Now the parents believed her and they rushed home to return the rhino to the zoo but no...Daisy said that they had to send the rhino back home a million miles away. So they loaded the rhino in the car and took it to the airport and Daisy said goodbye and sent it back home. THEN the parents finally start to pay their daughter some attention.

I did not want the girls to visit zoos and be worried that the animals were missing their homes. I know that there are many anti-zoo folks out there and you'll love the book, but the rest of us may want the kids to enjoy learning about these animals in person. I also did not care for the message that if YOU think that something belongs somewhere other than where it usually resides, then you can just go ahead and do with it as YOU see fit.

There are some cute pics, but ultimately I decided that it was not a good message for these particular girls. Their mom agreed. If it is a better fit for you, then happy reading.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Fantastic and silly and wonderful for pre-schoolers
By Trudy G
Well the title was catchy and silly and I thought it would be perfect for my 3 year old granddaughter. It was better than perfect. She loved it. The whole premise of it. I wasn't sure if a 3 year old could grasp the concepts, but she sure did. She loved it so much, she brought it to pre-school to show her school mates. I

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Recommended
By Amazon Customer
We are funs of Anna kemp's books. I recommend this book every parent who does not listen their kids' questions. This book is so much fun.

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[R662.Ebook] Free Ebook Health Services: Policy and Systems for Therapists (3rd Edition), by Robert Sandstrom, Helene Lohman MA OTR/L, James D. Bramble Ph.D.

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Health Services: Policy and Systems for Therapists (3rd Edition), by Robert Sandstrom, Helene Lohman MA OTR/L, James D. Bramble Ph.D.



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Health Services: Policy and Systems for Therapists (3rd Edition), by Robert Sandstrom, Helene Lohman MA  OTR/L, James D. Bramble Ph.D.

This extensively updated text fully equips today’s occupational and physical therapists with indispensable knowledge about rapidly-evolving policy developments that are reshaping their professions. Health Services, Third Edition reflects PPACA (US health care reform); major changes to Medicare and reimbursement policies, and other key trends that are impacting practitioners or soon will. Health Services, Third Edition explains the principles and major structures of health services; reviews how policies and systems affect therapists’ ability to serve patients, and shows how to be an effective advocate for both private and public policy change. The authors explore access, cost, quality, licensure, informed consent, medical liability, and many other key issues. A new chapter on global and population health integrates important public health topics, and substantial new content is provided on special education and mental health care systems.

  • Sales Rank: #123443 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-07-12
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.80" h x .50" w x 8.50" l, 1.12 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 264 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Concise, logically organized, and applicable
By A. Walquist
Considering the vast and sometimes daunting number of health policies and information regarding healthcare, it is nice to have a book written directly for physical therapists. For me, this book filtered out much of the unnecessary info and addressed what is important to my future profession. I progressed from knowing next to nothing about health systems and policy to actually being able to apply the concepts in my everyday life.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Don't waste your money!
By kussnyder
Had to buy this book for a class, but really wish that I hadn't bothered. The information it contains is very basic and it definitely was not worth the money.

1 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Fell apart when I used it
By Sarah Kibiloski
CHEAP!
The book binding fell apart during my first time reading through the book and pages fell out. Unfortunately this happened after the return window had expired. The book was very poorly put together, very disappointing for a textbook that I bought brand new for $70 and had planned to keep for reference.

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Health Services: Policy and Systems for Therapists (3rd Edition), by Robert Sandstrom, Helene Lohman MA OTR/L, James D. Bramble Ph.D. PDF
Health Services: Policy and Systems for Therapists (3rd Edition), by Robert Sandstrom, Helene Lohman MA OTR/L, James D. Bramble Ph.D. PDF

Rabu, 02 Januari 2013

[D720.Ebook] Download Ebook Claude Monet: Life and Art, by Professor Paul Hayes Tucker

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Claude Monet: Life and Art, by Professor Paul Hayes Tucker

The impressionist Claude Monet, created more than 2500 paintings, drawings and pastels - radically altering the way art was made and understood. This book is a comprehensive study of Monet's achievement that sets his rich legacy into the context of his life and times. Instead of reading Monet's work as engaged only with the beauties of nature, the author offers interpretations based on an examination of individual paintings, Monet's biography and the multiple forces that shaped his aesthetic. The artist's oeuvre is seen as an evolving enterprise that was intricately linked to such events as the Franco-Prussian War and the Commune insurrection of 1870-71, the Dreyfus Affair of 1898 and World War I. This book also explores the demands that Monet placed upon himself, his responses to market pressures and his steadfast belief in the power of art to express ideas. Combining documentary material with an analysis of the public's reaction to his work, the book demonstrates how Monet was able to achieve enormous success during his lifetime. It argues that Monet was fully aware of his talents, that he consciously chose sites and subjects that were layered with meaning and that he was intent on becoming one of France's greatest artists - an honour he was accorded by the end of the 19th century - much earlier than is generally assumed.

  • Sales Rank: #916011 in Books
  • Published on: 1995-04-26
  • Ingredients: Example Ingredients
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: .93" h x 9.65" w x 11.56" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 260 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Kirsten Soderlind
Highly recommend for any Monet "lover"!

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By j.r.
Wonderful.

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Five Stars
By Lou Pearson Jr.
Great Deal. good seller, much appreciated.

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